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Neural network fitting using levenberg-marquardt training algorithm for PM10 concentration forecasting in Kuala Terengganu
Samsuri Abdullah1, Marzuki Ismail2, Fong, Si Yuen3, Ali Najah Ahmed4.
—The forecasting of Particulate Matter (PM10) is
crucial as the information can be used by local authority in
informing community regarding the level air quality at specific
location. The non-linearity of PM10 in atmosphere after it was
subjected by several meteorological parameters should be treated
with powerful statistical models which can provide high accuracy
in forecasting the PM10 concentration for instance Neural Network
(NN) model. Thus, the aim of this study is establishment of NN
model using Levenberg-Marquardt training algorithm with
meteorological parameters as predictors. Daily observations of
PM10, wind speed, relative humidity, ambient temperature,
rainfall, and atmospheric pressure in Kuala Terengganu,
Malaysia from January 2009 to December 2014 were selected for
predicting PM10 concentration level. Principal Component
Analysis (PCA) was applied prior the establishment of NN model
with the aim of reducing multi-collinearity among predictors. The
three principal components (PC-1, PC-2, PC-3) as the result of
PCA was used as the input for the NN model. The NN model with
14 hidden neurons was found as the best model having MSE of
0.00164 and R values of 0.80435(Training stage),
0.85735(Validation stage), and 0.8135(Testing stage). Overall the
model performance was achieved as high as 81.1% for PM10
forecasting in Kuala Terengganu.
Affiliation:
- Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia
- Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia
- Universiti Malaysia Terengganu, Malaysia
- Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Malaysia
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Indexation |
Indexed by |
MyJurnal (2019) |
H-Index
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0 |
Immediacy Index
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0.000 |
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Indexed by |
Scopus (SCImago Journal Rankings 2016) |
Impact Factor
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0 |
Rank |
Q4 (Computer Networks and Communications) Q4 (Electrical and Electronic Engineering) Q4 (Hardware and Architecture) |
Additional Information |
0.112 (SJR) |
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